From the journal

The spreadsheetof wins.

The old site offered this page as a download. Here is the spreadsheet itself, transcribed: 183 NFL games from three seasons, each with both teams rated for the day of the game by the Teambios method. The ratings are the record; what the sheet concluded from them is not reproduced.

183 games, across 3 seasons.

Sheet dated 13 September 2024

Reading the table

Games
183
Teams
32
Positions
6

Each game is two rows, the home team first. The figures are BioRatings for the day of the game, computed from each person’s birth date exactly as the app computes yours: the head coach, the quarterback, the running back and the tight end as one figure each, from −3 to 10, and the cornerbacks and wide receivers as the sum over the group, so those two columns run higher. The method is described on the Teambios page.

The games are the ones the author chose to rate: those where he judged the gap between the two rosters wide enough to be worth recording. They are not every game of the season.

2017 to 2018

60 games
21 September 2017, week 3

Home

San Francisco

Head coach
2
Quarterback
5
Running back
6
Tight end
10
Cornerbacks
7
Wide receivers
17

Away

Los Angeles (Rams)

Head coach
6
Quarterback
7
Running back
7
Tight end
4
Cornerbacks
5
Wide receivers
6

2018 to 2019

60 games
9 September 2018, week 1

Home

Baltimore

Head coach
6
Quarterback
0
Running back
0
Tight end
6
Cornerbacks
17
Wide receivers
6

Away

Buffalo

Head coach
10
Quarterback
5
Running back
3
Tight end
5
Cornerbacks
14
Wide receivers
13

2023 to 2024

63 games
14 September 2023, week 2

Home

Philadelphia

Head coach
5
Quarterback
5
Running back
2
Tight end
4
Cornerbacks
7
Wide receivers
22

Away

Minnesota

Head coach
4
Quarterback
8
Running back
9
Tight end
3
Cornerbacks
15
Wide receivers
4

What is left out, and why

The original workbook has two further kinds of column. One records which team covered a bookmaker’s point spread; the others tally, for each way of weighting the positions, how often the team with the higher figure did so. We have not transcribed them. This site does not rate the cycles as a way of choosing games, and the app is for people of every age; a running score of that kind has no place here. The ratings themselves are a record of birth dates and calendar dates, and those we publish in full.

What the studies found when they asked the same question properly is on our evidence page.

The records